Hi Bowdin. Indeed urban agriculture could help build resilience to climate change in some contexts. What is the link between urban agriculture and climate change?
Given that pests and diseases cause such massive impacts globally TODAY, it is amazing that the models are so far behind the crop models. But great to see that there is a vision to create a modelling platform.
The crop mixes for urban agriculture are different from those in “conventional” farming systems. So we will be dealing with a different spectrum of pests. So the models being currently discussed might not be appropriate.
Unfortunately, it is easy to open a bottle and spray it on the crop than to implement a more "ecological" solution. But they have made big progress in integrated pest management, so the knowledge is there.
Perhaps a related question, which Karen seems to be looking at, is how can we even know which pest management systems to use, given that climate change is likely to alter the conditions where pest thrive?
The link to climate change is that many cities anticipate that in a climate change scenario water will be reused. Stormwater will be harvested for domestic use and also for food production.
Complexity is nut of the problem in pests and diseases and is probably the reason why these "generic" models do not exist. In crops, you have fairly universal rules in physiology, but that seeming is not the case in this field, though i would love to be
Also the reason why urban agriculture will be very hard to model. The diversity of one allotment plot is simply too high to validate the models properly
that is certainly an issue in developed country agriculture, Swen, but in the tropics the nature of the landscapes often means that there is only limited monocropping
So we have seen that it is complex! 9 very different factors that need to be taken into acount. Is this complexity so overwhelming that we cannot possibly model it?
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